During my first two years at prep school, from 1968 to 1970, I used to hear the spoiled leftist kids who went there talk about revolution, and how they were going to overthrow the US government. They would often do this as they smoked marijuana in the alley behind the school.
I used to wonder what they were thinking. This was a ragtag bunch of spoiled Baby Boomers, soft kids who'd never had to worry about where their next meal was coming from, who'd never held jobs, who'd never had physical training of any sort. None of them knew the first thing about fighting, or weapons, or war. And yet they talked as if they were ready to take on the US government, with its highly trained soldiers, it's technological expertise, its money, its battleships, its air force, its nuclear arsenal, and its Special Forces teams.
There was just a huge, mind-boggling disconnect with reality.
Similarly, the people hoping to overthrow Muammar Gaddafi don't seem to be taking into account that he has tens of billions of dollars in banks all over the world, a well-trained army of mercenaries, a huge arsenal, and an air force which can rain hellfire from above.
The Libyan people were undoubtedly encouraged by what they had seen happen in Tunisia and Egypt. But there is nothing in Gaddafi's history to suggest that he will bow out gracefully. He is a murderous, repressive thug who will hang onto power by any means necessary, even if it means killing hundreds of thousands of his own countrymen.
So I'll be rooting for the Libyan rebels.
But I won't be betting on them.