Last September, this blog was the first to call the Republican nomination for Mitt Romney.
In that same spirit, this blog is now calling the general election for Romney as well.
Despite the fact that Intrade has the odds of Obama winning at 59.9% (vs. 38.3% for Romney), there is just too much sentiment built up against the President. He has lost the independents, who are crucial for his election. Young people are no longer as enthusiastic. And black people, his most dependable voting bloc, are projected to show up in smaller numbers than they did for the historic 2008 election.
There may also be further revelations about Obama's background which would further alienate the electorate. These may have to do with the provenance of his birth certificate, or who paid for his college education, or why he is not registered as a lawyer in the state of Illinois. But given the effort which has gone into sealing his records, academic and otherwise, an October surprise would not be surprising.
So far, the best they've been able to come up with about Romney is that some of the multitude of companies he bought and sold fired some people, and that he once transported his dog on top of a car.
So this blog declares Romney the winner.
You heard it here first.