This blog recently predicted that Obama will lose the upcoming election. He's lost the independents, and Wall Street. He no longer has the enthusiasm of young people. He has only lukewarm support from Hispanics. He doesn't even have the support of "Obama Girl" Amber Lee Ettinger any more.
The one bloc he is still assured of is the black vote. Blacks gave him 96% of their vote in 2008, and will undoubtedly give him a similar percentage this time around.
It's hard to imagine what Obama would have to do to lose them.
He could declare war on Britain on a whim, drop napalm on them, and still have the black vote.
He could declare all Treasury bonds null and void.
He could expound more about how he's been to 57 states, or about how they speak Austrian in Austria.
He could convert the Oval Office into a basketball court.
He could deliver all of his speeches in rap.
He could play golf seven days a week, and go on even more fancy vacations -- for say, twelve weeks a year.
And he would still have the black vote.
It seems the only way Obama could lose his core constituency would be to deliver the following speech:
"You know, I've been reading a lot of Steve Sailer recently, and I've come to the conclusion that the IQ difference between the races really is genetic in origin. It's unrealistic not to take that 15 point gap into account when formulating national policy. We have to realize that affirmative action and programs like No Child Left Behind are just plain wrongheaded. And given the difference in crime rates, not having racial profiling would simply be silly."
Addendum, next day. Just found out, last night SNL aired a skit which asks the exact same question as this post:
Please note the time this post was put up (below).