Search Box

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Barack Obama hands Scott Brown a gift

(Right, Martha Coakley; below, Scott Brown)

The Massachusetts Senatorial race is getting downright exciting.

A friend sent the following link, a site which where you can make bets regarding upcoming events:

The odds are now 55-45 favoring Republican Scott Brown over Democrat Martha Coakley. (Those are the betting odds, not the respective percentiles of voters favoring each candidate, which are much closer.)

And this in a notoriously liberal state where Democratic voters outnumber Republicans three to one.

One can't help but think that this most recent groundswell of support for a Republican was due to Obama's latest backroom deal, whereby he exempted the unions and government employees from the "Cadillac tax" which taxes particularly lavish employer-provided health plans.

The unions, of course, were large contributors to the Obama campaign in '08. And government employees mostly vote Democrat.

One also can't help but think of Abraham Lincoln's dictum: "You can fool all of the people some of the time, and some of the people all of the time, but you can't fool all of the people all of the time."

If Massachusetts -- a state with a particularly large contingent of those referred to in the middle part of the dictum -- elects Brown, it will be an incredibly strong statement about how fed up the electorate is with the policies of the Obama administration. If the race is even close, that would be a strong statement.

Exactly how would the mainstream media play this one down?


Anonymous said...

Well Obama brought his magic to Mass and did what he does best - the speech was as good as most he has given. But it seems that independents are suffering from a major case of Democrat fatigue and the Obama message is increasingly hollow. The betting is moving to Brown and the Dems are beginning their recriminations. I think I will be sitting up late to watch the results tomorrow night.

John Craig said...

Guy --
I haven't heard the speech yet but I'm sure the NY Times will give it positive to fawning coverage this morning. I did notice that the betting odds are now 67-37 favoring Brown as of this morning. If Brown does win, it will be interesting to hear those recriminations.