Search Box

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Albert Einstein on global warming

The following quote was on a financial website ( this morning:

"When the number of factors coming into play in a phenomenological complex is too large scientific method in most cases fails. One need only think of the weather, in which case the prediction even for a few days ahead is impossible." -- Albert Einstein

The quote was used as a lead-in to an article about how difficult it is to make financial predictions. But it applies just as well to global warming. The number of factors that play into weather patterns make them near impossible to predict.

Einstein died long before the climate change controversy started, but his statement is just as apropos now.


Dan Pangburn said...

Weather is complex but the cause of average global temperature change isn't.

There are only two primary drivers of average global temperature change. They very accurately explain the reported up and down measurements since before 1900 with R2>0.9 (correlation coefficient = 0.95) and provide credible estimates back to the low temperatures of the Little Ice Age (1610).

CO2 change is NOT one of the drivers.

The drivers are given at

NotAnotherWriter said...

Actually, when Einstein was in his prime global cooling was the rage. He thought it was bunk. Know why? He had heard it all before as a propaganda peice in Nazi Germany. Climate was a great money maker for the third reach, just as it is for the current generation of goose steppers.

John Craig said...

NotAnotherWriter --
I like that analogy with the goose steppers. You're not just another writer.